Independent EA Backtest Analysis
ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 — Backtest Analysis
ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 backtested on FusionMarkets-Live data, analyzed end-to-end by PortQuant's Portfolio Engineering pipeline: equity drawdown reconstruction, Monte Carlo simulation, robustness battery, grid detection, quality score.
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- SQC score
- 94 · Weak
- Net profit
- $18,250
- Total return
- 182.5%
- CAGR
- 54.6%
- Calmar
- 9.41
- Recovery factor
- 16.96
- Profit factor
- 5.42
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Max equity DD
- 5.8%
- MC equity DD P95
- 10.8%
- MC verdict
- moderate risk
- Trades
- 1,372
Tested with a fixed lot size, so this backtest is linear in position size: doubling the lot doubles both profit and drawdown in currency terms, while all percentages (return, DD, Calmar) stay unchanged.
ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 — Recovery grid with no stop-loss. Buyer beware.
Tested on 1,372 trades from 2024-01-10 to 2026-05-29. Headline backtest return 182.5% collapses under realistic conditions. Monte Carlo simulation puts P95 equity drawdown at 10.8% and P99 at 11.6% — meaningfully worse than the 5.8% backtest figure. Grid / averaging behaviour confirmed at 72% confidence — backtest results from grid strategies systematically understate live tail risk.
Why PortQuant rejects ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 despite the strong backtest
- Recovery grid with no stop-loss. This EA recovers losing trades by adding to them (grid / martingale). 93% of trade clusters are closed only after averaging deeper into the loss, stop-losses are used on just 0% of trades, nothing caps how far a losing sequence can run (containment: none). The smooth backtest exists precisely because every adverse sequence happened to recover inside the test window — one sequence that does not recover can wipe the account, and a backtest that blew up is never exported, so this risk is invisible in the historical curve.
This backtest scores 94/100 on raw performance, but qualification is a separate safety gate. A high score describes what happened in this one sample; the rejection describes a structural risk the sample cannot reveal. PortQuant rejects on structure, not just the shape of the equity curve.
Independent analysis of a single MT5 Strategy Tester backtest run on FusionMarkets-Live tick data. Live performance can and often does differ materially from backtest performance. PortQuant is not affiliated with the EA's vendor and does not sell EAs.
Frequently asked about ArtGuant Gold EA MT5
- Is ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 profitable in backtest?
- In the backtest we analyzed, ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 produced a 182.5% return over 1,372 trades at a profit factor of 5.42. Backtest profitability does not imply live profitability — see the Monte Carlo and robustness sections above.
- What is ArtGuant Gold EA MT5's maximum drawdown?
- In the backtest, ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 hit a maximum equity drawdown of 5.8% (closed-trade balance drawdown 0.2%). Equity drawdown — measured from peak-to-trough on live equity, not just closed trades — is the metric that actually matters for an account's survival.
- What does PortQuant's Monte Carlo simulation say about ArtGuant Gold EA MT5's risk?
- Across thousands of resampled trade sequences, PortQuant's Monte Carlo simulation puts the P95 equity drawdown for ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 at 10.8% and P99 at 11.6% — meaning 5% of plausible live trajectories see drawdowns at least this deep. The MC verdict is moderate risk.
- Is ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 a grid or martingale strategy?
- Yes — PortQuant's grid detector flagged ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 at 72% confidence. Grid and martingale strategies systematically understate live tail risk in backtests because they only break under specific market conditions that may not appear in the test window.
- What broker and tick source was used for this backtest?
- The ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 backtest was run on FusionMarkets-Live data. The MT5 Strategy Tester reported history quality of "99% real ticks" for this run — i.e. modelled on the broker's real recorded ticks, the highest-fidelity backtest mode. Date range: 2024-01-10 to 2026-05-29.
- Where can I buy or download ArtGuant Gold EA MT5?
- ArtGuant Gold EA MT5 is listed on the MQL5 Market. View the product page at https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/139041. PortQuant does not sell or resell EAs and is not affiliated with the vendor.
- Can I get this same analysis for another EA?
- Yes. PortQuant Portfolio Engineering runs the same end-to-end pipeline — equity drawdown reconstruction, Monte Carlo simulation, robustness battery, grid detection, quality score — on any MT5 Strategy Tester backtest you upload. Start free at https://portquant.com/signup.
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